Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google

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Today

last 24 hours

Yes68¢▲3¢today

No big moves · no stories

Oct 3, 6:06 PM UTClivechecked 6:05 PM UTC

About this market

The longer view

▼5¢ over 4 days

▲20¢ · Thu

Oct 1today

Resolves

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Ends

Oct 31, 4:00 PM UTC

Traded

$395k in total

Prices

From Polymarket · Open on Polymarket

Sweat shows when things were published and what the price did around them, never why.

LIVE

What landed, newest first

Nothing new for 3 days.

The last item landed Wed at 8:23 PM UTC. Sweat keeps looking and will show anything new here. The price is still live above.

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VentureBeat @venturebeat.com3d
Google unveils Gemini 4 Argon, retaking benchmark lead over OpenAI and Anthropic — but in limited release
Read on VentureBeat , venturebeat.com
Sweat saw it 1 day after it was published
briefia.frSep 21
Anthropic Places Seven Models in Arena's Top 10 Ranking
Read on briefia.fr
Sweat saw it 11 days after it was published
36kr.comSep 2
Anthropic Launches Claude 3.5 Fable 5.1 Pre-$2T IPO: Top All Benchmark Leaderboards, 45% Total Cost Cut, & New Anti-Distillation Mechanism Goes Live
Read on 36kr.com
Sweat saw it 30 days after it was published

Google

Today

Hold a side here?

What landed, newest first

Google unveils Gemini 4 Argon, retaking benchmark lead over OpenAI and Anthropic — but in limited release

Anthropic Places Seven Models in Arena's Top 10 Ranking

Anthropic Launches Claude 3.5 Fable 5.1 Pre-$2T IPO: Top All Benchmark Leaderboards, 45% Total Cost Cut, & New Anti-Distillation Mechanism Goes Live

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